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Index Funds: The 12-Step Program for Active Investors (Hardcover)

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ISBN: 0-9768023-0-9




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Harry M. Markowitz explains Portfolio Theory: what it is and how it's used from a top-down model from the asset classes to the investments. He covers Standard Deviation, Variance, Correlation, and Covariance. Markowitz also explains what happened in 2008 with Modern Portfolio Theory. (39 Min.)

Harry M. Markowitz - Portfolio Theory and 2008

Mark covers historic recovery patterns and probability of future returns, the risks and returns that come with big government, the role of commodities in your investments, the pros and cons of inflation-hedging securities, and an investment strategy that has been highly successful historically. (92 Min.)

Mark T. Hebner - Big Losses, Big Government and Your Investments

Harry Markowitz gives an IFA Exclusive Presentation on Portfolio Theory Vs. Financial Engineering, and Their Roles in Financial Crises. Markowitz explains the difference between Portfolio Theory and Financial Engineering. Markowitz also covers Black Monday (October 19, 1987), Long Term Capital Management, and Now. (47 Min.)

Harry Markowitz - Portfolio Theory Vs. Financial Engineering, and Their Roles in Financial Crises

The first step on the index funds journey is to recognize active investor behavior. If all investors were lined up in a row, could the active investors be identified? Active investors actively engage in stock picking, time picking (market timing), manager picking, and style picking.

Step 1: Active Investors - Podcast Interview with Mark Hebner

Mark Hebner explains the Nobel Laureates. Mark suggests a higher power of non-biased information from academics who carefully analyze data and have that data peer reviewed before it is published. Mark identifies the five basic concepts of the Modern Portfolio Theory.

Step 2: Nobel Laureates - Podcast Interview with Mark Hebner

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Dan Solin - Author of the bestseller, "The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read"
Dan Solin - Author of the bestseller, "The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read"

It's CNBC That Has Not Yet Hit Bottom

Dan Solin
Wednesday, March 11, 2009

I am no fan of CNBC. It's not just the insufferable pomposity, smugness and arrogance of its anchors or the faux frenzied reporting from the floor of the NYSE that I find offensive. It's how it works to mislead investors by providing so much misinformation. Great credit to Jon Stewart for taking them on and exposing their most memorable screw-ups.

The relentless self-promotion of talking heads posing as "financial experts" provides a steady stream of drivel that both confuses and alarms investors. CNBC understands that fear sells. It sells fear, masking as financial news.

The breaking point is its commercial for Jim Cramer, captioned "In Cramer We Trust." Over 600,000 viewers agree and they tune in to his inane show. Many of them rely on his advice.

NBC, CNBC's sister company, perpetuates the harm by having Cramer appear on otherwise serious news programs, like Nightly News with Brian Williams, a journalist I otherwise admire. For these appearances, Cramer appears to be on valium as he solemnly dispenses his version of financial wisdom, sans "boo-yas", references to "CramAmerica" and other nonsensical utterances which he rightly believes might not go down well with a more discerning audience.

Objective studies by Barron's and others conclusively demonstrate that Cramer's stock picks typically underperform the market. From May to December 2008, the market lost 30%. Investors who followed Cramer's advice would have lost 35%.

According to Barron's, there may be a way to profit from Cramer's recommendations: bet against them. One study demonstrated shorting his picks earned investors over 25% a month.

Here's the bottom line:

There is a reason for the self-confidence of CNBC's anchors and its Mad Money star: They are desperately hiding a secret. The network is premised on a fundamental lie. Watching CNBC is harmful to your financial health. No amount of information, however slickly packaged and promoted, will help you "beat the markets." If you figured that out, the money machine at CNBC would come to a grinding halt.

In stark contrast, CNN's Ali Velshi and Gerri Willis explain and educate, in a calm, reasoned and intelligent way. They make no pretense of providing "inside information" on stock picks and market timing. They elevate the discourse. CNBC lowers it.

Investors want to know if the market has bottomed out. The answer is: no one knows.

CNBC has not yet bottomed out, and that is contributing to the problem.

The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein.


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